China Unveils New Economic Measures Amid Trump’s Election Victory
China has introduced a series of new measures aimed at reviving its struggling economy as it faces the prospect of a second term for former U.S. President Donald Trump. The country is set to tackle massive local government debt in an effort to prevent it from further hindering economic growth.
Trump’s victory in the U.S. presidential election has raised concerns in Beijing, particularly over his pledge to implement steep tariffs on Chinese-made goods, with some estimates suggesting tariffs could reach as high as 60%. This potential trade conflict is expected to undermine Chinese President Xi Jinping’s ambitious plan to transform the country into a global technology leader, further straining relations between the world’s two largest economies.
China’s economic recovery has faced significant challenges since the pandemic, with a property slump, rising government debt, and increasing unemployment slowing growth. Low consumer demand has compounded these problems, leading to a sharp decline in economic activity. Against this backdrop, the latest economic measures, announced by the Standing Committee of the National People’s Congress (NPC), are seen as crucial to stabilizing the economy.
Trump’s trade policies during his first term were already painful for China, with tariffs on Chinese goods reaching as high as 25%. Experts like China analyst Bill Bishop suggest that Trump’s return to the White House would likely result in an escalation of tariffs, particularly if he believes that China has not fulfilled its trade commitments. “I think we should believe that he means it when he talks about tariffs,” said Bishop. “He sees China as having reneged on his trade deal and thinks China and Covid cost him the 2020 election.”
While the U.S.-China trade tensions didn’t subside after Trump left office in 2021, with the Biden administration maintaining and even expanding some tariffs, China is now in a more vulnerable position. The economy has struggled to return to pre-pandemic growth levels, especially after abandoning strict Covid restrictions two years ago. Instead of a quick recovery, the country has experienced ongoing economic disappointments.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has downgraded its growth forecast for China, now expecting a modest 4.8% expansion in 2024, below Beijing’s target of “about 5%”. The IMF’s projection for 2025 suggests even slower growth, with an anticipated rate of just 4.5%.
In response, China’s latest plan includes an injection of 6 trillion yuan ($840 billion) between now and 2026 to help local governments manage their growing debt burdens. For years, local governments have relied on borrowing to finance infrastructure projects, but a downturn in the property sector has left many cities unable to meet their financial obligations. The new measures aim to alleviate this crisis and support economic stability as the country navigates increasingly turbulent global economic conditions.
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Vistara Airlines Ceases Operations Amid Merger with Air India
Indian full-service carrier Vistara will operate its final flight on Monday, marking the end of its nine-year run in the skies. A joint venture between Singapore Airlines and Tata Sons, Vistara is set to merge with Tata-owned Air India, forming a single airline entity that will combine their networks and fleets.
The merger will see all Vistara operations, including helpdesk kiosks and ticketing offices, transferred to Air India. The transition process, including migrating Vistara passengers and their loyalty programmes to Air India, has been underway for several months. According to an Air India spokesperson, meals, service ware, and other aspects of the passenger experience have been upgraded to reflect a blend of both airlines’ offerings.
While Vistara has been praised for its high ratings in food, service, and cabin quality, the decision to retire the brand has drawn criticism from fans, branding experts, and aviation analysts. Vistara’s loyal customer base, known for its appreciation of the airline’s premium in-flight experience, faces uncertainty about whether Air India can maintain these standards.
The consolidation, aviation analysts argue, is primarily driven by the need to address Vistara’s financial losses. Mark Martin, an aviation analyst, suggested that Air India is “being suckered into taking a loss-making airline” and that mergers should strengthen airlines, not merely eliminate losses. However, both Air India and Vistara have seen improvements in their operating metrics, with annual losses reduced by more than half.
Despite these improvements, the merger has been far from smooth. Challenges have arisen, such as pilot shortages leading to flight cancellations and mass sick leave taken by Vistara crew members over salary structure alignments. Complaints about service quality on Air India, including viral videos of malfunctioning seats and entertainment systems, have further compounded concerns.
To address these issues, Tata has announced a $400 million programme to upgrade Air India’s aircraft interiors and has placed orders for hundreds of new planes. However, analysts believe the ongoing “turnaround” is still incomplete, and the merger may complicate the situation.
From a branding perspective, the merger has also raised concerns. Harish Bijoor, a brand strategy specialist, expressed disappointment over the loss of Vistara, calling it a “gold standard for Indian aviation.” He suggested that maintaining Vistara as a distinct brand, with Air India prefixed to it, would have allowed the airline to improve its service standards before absorbing Vistara’s superior offering.
Operational challenges are expected as well, particularly in communication and cultural integration. Passengers may arrive expecting Vistara flights, only to find Air India branding. Moreover, Vistara’s agile workforce may struggle to adjust to Air India’s more bureaucratic systems.
Despite these hurdles, many industry observers agree that the merger was inevitable. With two loss-making carriers under the Tata umbrella, consolidating operations makes financial sense. The combined strength of Air India and Vistara is seen as a better positioning to compete with market leader IndiGo, particularly with Air India’s expanded fleet and workforce.
Ultimately, while the demise of Vistara leaves a void in India’s premium airline market, the future remains uncertain as Air India works to fill that gap. For now, many Vistara loyalists will be watching closely to see if Air India can successfully elevate its service to meet the high standards Vistara once set.
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