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The U.S. economy expanded solidly in the third quarter of 2024, growing at an annual rate of 2.8%, according to figures released by the Commerce Department. While this marks a slight slowdown from the previous quarter’s 3% growth, the data indicates that the U.S. remains on track for one of the strongest economic performances among major economies this year. The primary driver behind this growth was consumer spending, which has seen a rebound compared to earlier in the year.

This economic report comes just days before polls close in a closely contested presidential election, where surveys consistently indicate that the economy is the foremost concern for American voters. However, experts suggest that these latest figures may not significantly alleviate public worries.

Despite the positive economic indicators, sentiment remains low. A recent poll by the Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research revealed that 62% of Americans currently view the economy as “bad.” The pandemic has cast a long shadow over economic sentiment, with a substantial 21% increase in prices over the past four years dampening public perception, regardless of encouraging data.

In a political landscape where the phrase “it’s the economy, stupid,” coined by strategist James Carville in 1992, remains relevant, the economic concerns could pose challenges for Vice President Kamala Harris and the Democrats, the incumbent party. Former President Donald Trump is leveraging his record during his presidency, a time often viewed as more favorable economically, to appeal to voters.

Analysts, however, caution that the electorate’s perception of the economy has become increasingly partisan. Marjorie Connelly, a senior fellow at the AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs, noted, “Even though the economy is based on numbers, a lot of people’s views are partisan.” The poll indicated a stark divide, with 61% of Democrats viewing the economy positively, compared to just 13% of Republicans and 28% of independents.

Despite economic concerns being high on voters’ lists, other issues may ultimately influence election outcomes more decisively. Connelly added, “I don’t know how much people are going to vote on the economy. There are other issues.”

The economy consistently ranks as a top voter concern, in part because it is one area where a significant number of both Democrats and Republicans find common ground. Recent hard data supports a positive outlook, with declining petrol prices, stabilizing grocery costs, and rising wages helping many families cope with increased living expenses.

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates for the first time in four years in September, expressing growing confidence that inflation is easing. Additionally, a strong rebound in job growth and an increase in the Conference Board’s consumer sentiment index in October further bolstered optimism.

Samuel Tombs, chief U.S. economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, suggests that rising sentiment may be linked to increased confidence among Republicans regarding Trump’s electoral chances. However, Dana Peterson, chief economist for The Conference Board, emphasized the importance of tangible economic data, stating, “The data are the data… we’re not as worried.” As the election approaches, the interplay between economic data and political perceptions will be closely watched.

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Disparities in Material Welfare Across Europe Highlighted by Key Indicator

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A key indicator of household material welfare, Actual Individual Consumption (AIC) per capita, reveals significant variations across Europe. Expressed in Purchasing Power Standards (PPS), AIC measures all goods and services used by households, whether purchased directly or provided by the government or nonprofit organizations. As a result, it offers valuable insight into living standards across the continent.

In 2023, Luxembourg ranked at the top of the list, with AIC per capita 36% above the EU average, at 136% of the EU’s benchmark. In contrast, Bulgaria and Hungary recorded some of the lowest material welfare levels in the European Union, with AIC per capita at just 70% of the EU average. The overall EU average, which encompasses 27 member states, is set at 100.

Nine EU countries recorded AIC levels above the EU average. In addition to Luxembourg, these countries include Germany (119%), the Netherlands (119%), Austria (114%), Belgium (113%), Denmark (108%), France (106%), Sweden (106%), and Finland (105%). Among the EU’s largest economies, Germany and the Netherlands performed the best, followed by France, where welfare was 6% above the EU average. Meanwhile, Italy’s material welfare matched the EU average, and Spain, at 91%, ranked the lowest among the “Big Four.”

On the opposite end of the spectrum, Central and Eastern European countries, along with several EU candidate nations, generally reported lower AIC per capita. Latvia, Estonia, Croatia, and Slovakia follow Hungary and Bulgaria in showing more than 20% lower material welfare than the EU average.

Outside the EU, the European Free Trade Association (EFTA) countries reported higher material welfare levels than the EU. Norway and Switzerland exceeded the EU average, with Norway at 24% above and Switzerland 16% higher. In contrast, all six EU candidate countries fell below the EU average, with Turkey, at 84%, performing better than nine EU countries, including Poland (83%) and Greece (80%).

While Nordic and Western European nations consistently show higher AIC per capita, reflecting better material welfare, Central and Eastern Europe, along with EU candidate countries, exhibit lower AIC figures. This disparity highlights notable regional differences in living standards across Europe.

Over the past three years, several countries experienced shifts in material welfare. Denmark saw the most significant decline, dropping from 120% of the EU average in 2020 to 108% in 2023. Meanwhile, Ireland, Bulgaria, and Spain reported significant increases in AIC per capita, with Turkey recording the most substantial rise among EU candidates, moving from 64% to 84%.

Eurostat explains that AIC is a comprehensive measure of household material well-being, accounting for all household expenditures, including those for food, clothing, housing, and healthcare. This indicator offers a more equitable way to compare living standards across different regions and countries, adjusting for variations in price levels.

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Biden Blocks $14.9 Billion US Steel Takeover by Nippon Steel, Sparking Controversy

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US President Joe Biden has blocked the proposed $14.9 billion acquisition of US Steel by Japan’s Nippon Steel, citing national security concerns and fulfilling a campaign promise to protect American industries. The decision has raised tensions with Japan and sparked fears about its impact on future foreign investments in the US.

Biden explained that foreign ownership of US Steel posed risks to national security, emphasizing that maintaining a strong, domestically-owned steel industry is essential for national defense and infrastructure. “Steel powers our country: our infrastructure, our auto industry, and our defense industrial base,” Biden said in a statement. He also stated that the transaction would undermine the resilience of US supply chains, particularly in critical sectors.

The move follows pressure from the United Steelworkers union, which had expressed concerns over the potential loss of jobs and the long-term viability of the steel industry. The union hailed Biden’s decision as “the right move for our members and our national security.”

Nippon Steel and US Steel, however, strongly condemned the decision, claiming that the review process had been manipulated for political purposes. The two companies stated they would take “appropriate action to protect their legal rights,” signaling the possibility of a legal challenge. They also argued that the merger would have strengthened the US steel industry, improved competitiveness, and safeguarded American jobs.

Japanese officials reacted swiftly, with Yoji Muto, Japan’s industry and trade minister, expressing disappointment over Biden’s decision. Muto warned that it could harm future investment between Japan and the US, adding that the Japanese government would take the matter seriously. The decision has also raised concerns within the business communities of both nations.

The proposed merger, announced in December 2023, had been closely watched by both governments. Nippon Steel, the world’s fourth-largest steelmaker, had aimed to expand its presence in the US by acquiring US Steel, a company with a storied history in American industry. US Steel had warned that without the merger, it might be forced to close factories, affecting workers and local communities, particularly in Pennsylvania, a crucial swing state in the upcoming 2024 election.

Despite the companies’ efforts to allay concerns, including pledges to protect jobs and fund workforce training programs, Biden stood firm in his opposition. The decision has drawn criticism from various quarters, including conservatives and business groups, some of whom argue that it could deter foreign investments in the US.

White House spokesperson John Kirby defended the move, clarifying that it was not aimed at Japan but at preserving US steel-making capabilities. Analysts speculate that Nippon Steel and US Steel may attempt to renegotiate the deal under a future administration, potentially with more favorable terms.

The fallout from the decision could have lasting effects on US-Japan relations, with some questioning the impact on bilateral ties and future economic cooperation.

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Apple Agrees to $95 Million Settlement Over Allegations of Eavesdropping Through Siri

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Apple has agreed to pay $95 million to settle a lawsuit accusing the tech giant of secretly listening to users through its virtual assistant, Siri. The settlement, which was reached in a preliminary agreement, comes after claims that Apple eavesdropped on users’ conversations and shared voice recordings with advertisers.

The lawsuit alleges that Siri was activated without users’ consent, even when the wake phrase “Hey, Siri” was not used. The claimants also argue that Apple’s failure to delete these recordings led to them being shared with advertisers, who used the data to target users with personalized ads.

Although Apple has not admitted to any wrongdoing, the company has stated in court filings that it denies the allegations that it recorded or disclosed conversations without consent. Additionally, Apple claims it permanently deleted individual Siri audio recordings collected prior to October 2019.

The lead plaintiff in the case, Fumiko Lopez, alleges that both she and her daughter were recorded without their permission. They claim that after discussing products like Air Jordans, they began seeing targeted ads for those products.

The lawsuit is classified as a class action, meaning it is brought forward by a small group of individuals on behalf of a larger group of affected users. In this case, eligible US-based claimants could receive up to $20 per Siri-enabled device they owned between 2014 and 2019. Lawyers representing the claimants are expected to receive 30% of the settlement fee, amounting to nearly $30 million.

Apple’s decision to settle, despite denying any liability, allows the company to avoid the risks of a lengthy trial that could result in a higher payout. The settlement amount, while substantial, is less than the potential cost of a trial verdict, especially as Apple has continued to see strong financial performance. The company reported $94.9 billion in revenue for the three months ending September 2024.

This settlement adds to a growing list of class action lawsuits Apple has faced in recent years. In January 2024, Apple began paying out in a $500 million lawsuit over allegations of deliberately slowing down older iPhones. Earlier in March, it agreed to pay $490 million in a class action over its App Store practices in the UK. The company is also facing a class action from the consumer group Which?, accusing Apple of overcharging customers for its iCloud service.

The same law firm representing the claimants in the Siri case is also suing Google for similar allegations of eavesdropping through Google devices, with that case ongoing in the same California court.

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