Japan’s Ruling Party Faces Coalition Challenge After Snap Election
Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) is projected to fall short of a single-party majority following a closely contested snap election, according to exit polls released by broadcaster NHK. The LDP is estimated to secure between 153 and 219 seats in the lower house of the Diet, while the main opposition party, the Constitutional Democratic Party (CDP), is expected to win between 128 and 191 seats. A total of 233 seats is required for a party to control the house, indicating that the LDP will likely need to form a coalition to maintain power.
The election was called by the LDP’s newly elected leader, Shigeru Ishiba, just three days after he assumed leadership, preceding his official swearing-in as prime minister. This election comes in the wake of a tumultuous period for the LDP, which has been marred by a series of scandals, widespread voter apathy, and historically low approval ratings. Earlier this year, the party’s approval ratings dipped below 20% due to a political fundraising corruption scandal that rocked its leadership.
Despite the LDP’s challenges, opposition parties have struggled to unite or present themselves as viable alternatives to the ruling party. Prior to the dissolution of parliament, the main opposition party garnered an approval rating of only 6.6%. Many voters, like Miyuki Fujisaki, a long-time LDP supporter, expressed frustration with the lack of clear direction from opposition parties. “It’s hard to choose a party; I think people are losing interest,” Fujisaki said. “The opposition complains, but it’s not clear what they want to do.”
The political landscape in Japan has shifted rapidly in recent months. Ishiba, a seasoned politician and former defense minister, assumed leadership after former Prime Minister Fumio Kishida announced his unexpected resignation in August. Ishiba described the snap election as a “people’s verdict” as the LDP aims to rehabilitate its tarnished image.
The party’s reputation has been further damaged by its ties to the controversial Unification Church, which critics label a “cult,” and allegations of political corruption involving fundraising events. Investigations into dozens of LDP lawmakers have revealed accusations of misappropriating funds from these events, leading to significant internal turmoil.
“I feel the ruling party is in a wretched state,” said Michiko Hamada, who attended an opposition campaign rally in Urawa, on the outskirts of Tokyo. She expressed anger over the allegations of tax evasion amid rising living costs. Many citizens in Japan are feeling the pinch of rising prices, with food costs increasing significantly over the past two years. Hamada noted, “I’m paying 10,000 to 20,000 yen more for food each month. I’m trying to save, but things are just more expensive.”
The economic strain is palpable across the nation. Pensioner Chie Shimizu shared her struggle, stating that rising prices have forced her to work part-time to make ends meet. “Our hourly wage has gone up a bit, but it doesn’t match the prices,” she said, while searching for affordable options at a food stand.
As Japan navigates the aftermath of this election, the uncertainty surrounding the LDP’s governance and the growing discontent among voters could reshape the political landscape in the coming months.
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Prime Minister Starmer to Attend EU Security Summit Amid Tensions and Uncertainty
In early 2025, UK Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer will attend an informal summit of European Union (EU) leaders, marking the first invitation extended to the UK since the tense Brexit negotiations. The summit, scheduled for February, will focus on future security and defense cooperation, reflecting Europe’s growing concerns over the volatile global landscape.
The meeting’s backdrop is a world embroiled in conflict, with ongoing wars in the Middle East and Eastern Europe. Russia, with backing from Iran, North Korea, and China, continues its aggressive actions against Ukraine, while the potential re-election of Donald Trump in the United States raises new anxieties. Trump’s threats to impose punitive tariffs on imports and his suggestion of withdrawing from NATO—a cornerstone of Western security—have heightened concerns in both the EU and the UK. These global uncertainties have underscored the importance of EU-UK collaboration in preserving security and trade stability.
For the EU, the loss of the UK after Brexit was a blow, stripping the bloc of a significant economy and its only major military power aside from France. The UK, meanwhile, while no longer bound by EU regulations, finds itself with reduced influence on the world stage. However, under Labour’s leadership, the UK has acknowledged the importance of a strong relationship with Europe, especially in addressing key domestic priorities such as the economy, defense, and migration.
Mark Leonard, director of the European Council on Foreign Relations, emphasized that Europe remains central to the Labour government’s success. “The economy, defence, migration… there’s a European element to all of this,” he said. “Things which will make a success of this government are tied up with Europe.”
Labour has repeatedly pledged an “ambitious reset” in EU-UK relations, and there has been notable diplomatic activity since their election victory. Foreign Secretary David Lammy attended an EU Foreign Ministers’ meeting, Chancellor Rachel Reeves spoke at an EU finance ministers’ summit, and Starmer himself met with EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen in Brussels.
Despite this goodwill, skepticism persists in Brussels. While EU figures express a desire for closer UK relations, they remain uncertain about the UK’s position on key issues. One anonymous EU diplomat noted, “The headspace is there. The appetite is there in Europe for closer UK relations. What’s less clear is what London is really interested in—and what trade-offs it’s willing to make to get there.”
As the UK and the EU prepare for a summit in the spring, the future of their relationship will depend on the UK’s willingness to engage in meaningful compromise, particularly on issues like trade and migration. With tensions still high, the outcome of the 2025 summit will be a pivotal moment in reshaping EU-UK ties.
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