US Markets Drop as Trump’s Tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China Spark Global Sell-Off
February 5, 2025 – US stock markets have taken a hit following President Donald Trump’s decision to move forward with tariffs on key trading partners, sparking a global market downturn and raising fears of a trade war.
US Market Reacts to Tariff Announcement
In the opening moments of trading on Monday, US stock indexes all fell by more than 1%, with the Nasdaq seeing the steepest decline, dropping roughly 2%. This marked a continuation of losses from overseas markets, with Germany and France both seeing their stock markets fall by more than 1.5%. The UK’s FTSE 100 also dropped about 1.4%, with carmakers among the hardest hit sectors.
The downturn comes in the wake of Trump’s announcement that he would implement tariffs of 25% on exports from Canada and Mexico and 10% on Chinese goods. Trump has framed these tariffs as part of an effort to curb illegal drugs and immigration, but they are expected to have far-reaching consequences on some of the world’s largest economies.
Global Reactions and Retaliation Threats
In response, Canada and Mexico have vowed to retaliate with their own tariffs, while China has promised “corresponding countermeasures” and indicated it will challenge the move at the World Trade Organization. Trump has also stated that tariffs on the European Union are imminent, further escalating fears of global trade disruptions.
Market Turbulence and Economic Concerns
With tensions rising, investors are bracing for a turbulent period. The US dollar strengthened amid market uncertainty, rising to record highs against the Chinese yuan and the Canadian dollar, which hit its lowest level since 2003. The euro also fell to a more than two-year low against the US currency.
“Investors are rattled at the prospects of a full-blown trade war breaking out,” said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets at Hargreaves Lansdown.
Major US companies are feeling the impact of the tariffs. Companies such as Nike and Apple, both heavily reliant on Chinese manufacturing, saw their stock prices drop by around 3%. Similarly, automakers like Tesla and General Motors experienced sharp declines, while Toyota and Honda saw drops of 5% and 7.2%, respectively, in Japan. In Europe, Stellantis and Volkswagen stocks also fell by around 7%.
Shares in Diageo, a drinks maker that exports tequila from Mexico to the US, dropped by 3.8%.
Economic Impact and Inflation Concerns
Market analysts warn that the tariffs could lead to higher inflation and disrupt economic activity. Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell, noted the “sea of red flashing on the markets,” with concerns that rising prices might dampen demand and impact business and consumer confidence.
The threat of prolonged higher interest rates to curb inflation further boosted the dollar, while oil prices surged due to uncertainty about how tariffs on Canada and Mexico – the US’s biggest oil suppliers – would affect the global oil market.
Charu Chanana, chief investment strategist at Saxo Bank, cautioned that while tariffs might offer short-term benefits to the US, they carry long-term risks, particularly if other countries start reducing their reliance on the US economy. This, she warned, could undermine the US dollar’s role as the world’s primary reserve currency.
Business
Trump’s 25% Tariff on Steel and Aluminum Imports Set to Drive Up Costs Across Industries
President Donald Trump has announced a 25% tariff on all steel and aluminum imports into the United States, a move that will end exemptions for major trade partners Canada, Mexico, Brazil, and the European Union. The new tariffs, expected to take effect next month, are raising concerns across multiple industries about potential price increases for consumers.
Impact on Canned Goods and Beverages
The U.S. canned food industry, which imports around 70% of its steel, is expected to face significant cost pressures. Major food companies, including General Mills, Del Monte, and Goya, have warned that higher steel prices will likely lead to increased grocery prices.
Robert Budway, president of the Can Manufacturers Institute (CMI), expressed concerns that without exemptions, the tariffs could undermine food security and disrupt the supply chain.
“While the president may believe that these tariffs are protecting the steel industry, they certainly are undermining our food security and supply resiliency,” Budway said.
Similarly, the beverage industry, including Coca-Cola and major brewers, has cautioned that higher aluminum costs will drive up production expenses. Coca-Cola CEO James Quincey acknowledged that while the company could mitigate the impact, increased prices were still a possibility for consumers.
Automotive Industry Warns of Higher Car Prices
U.S. automakers, which rely heavily on imported metals, have also sounded the alarm. The last round of Trump-era steel and aluminum tariffs in 2018 resulted in a $1 billion cost increase for manufacturers such as Ford and General Motors.
According to Morningstar analyst David Whiston, a similar price hike could occur this time, potentially adding around $300 per vehicle for consumers. However, with automobile sales still below pre-pandemic levels, manufacturers may be hesitant to pass the full cost onto buyers.
Michael Wall, an auto industry expert at S&P Global Mobility, warned that the tariffs could lead to higher costs trickling down to consumers. He noted, however, that the real risk comes from Trump’s broader tariff proposal on all imports from Canada and Mexico, which is currently on hold until March.
If those tariffs are implemented, TD Economics estimates that vehicle prices could rise by up to $3,000.
Ford CEO Jim Farley called Trump’s trade moves “a lot of cost and a lot of chaos” for the auto industry.
Construction and Housing Market to Feel the Squeeze
The construction industry, one of the largest users of steel, is also set to suffer from rising material costs. Carl Harris, chairman of the National Association of Home Builders, criticized the tariffs, saying they run “totally counter” to Trump’s stated goal of making housing more affordable.
“Ultimately, consumers will pay for these tariffs in the form of higher home prices,” Harris said.
The homebuilding and appliance sectors are bracing for cost increases. After the 2018 steel tariffs, Whirlpool reported a $350 million jump in production costs due to higher steel prices.
While some companies may absorb the added costs, many industry leaders expect retail prices to increase, affecting everything from appliances to home construction materials.
Uncertain Future for U.S. Trade Policy
Trump has rejected calls for exemptions, insisting that all steel and aluminum imports must face the same tariff rules. However, some industries hope he will reconsider before the tariffs take effect.
With businesses across multiple sectors warning of higher prices, it remains to be seen whether consumer costs will rise significantly or if companies will find ways to absorb the financial hit. Either way, Trump’s latest trade policy move is already creating uncertainty for industries and markets alike.
Business
Global EV Sales Surge in January, But China Sees Slower Growth
Strong electric vehicle (EV) sales in Europe and North America helped drive global EV sales up 18% year-on-year in January, despite softer growth in China, according to EV research firm Rho Motion.
A total of 1.3 million EVs were sold worldwide in January, marking a significant increase from the same period in 2024. However, sales dropped 35% from December, a seasonal decline largely driven by the Chinese New Year effect.
Europe and North America Lead the Charge
In Europe, including the EU, European Free Trade Association (EFTA), and the UK, EV sales jumped 21% year-on-year to 250,000 units. Similarly, the US and Canada saw a 22% increase, with sales reaching 130,000 vehicles.
The European market’s strong start to 2025 comes as new emissions standards take effect, pushing automakers to accelerate EV production to avoid regulatory penalties.
China’s EV Market Slows, But Seasonal Trends Play a Role
China, the world’s largest EV market, experienced softer growth, with EV sales rising just 12% in January 2025 compared to the previous year. However, analysts attribute this slowdown to seasonal factors, as the Chinese New Year typically results in weaker vehicle sales in January and February.
Rho Motion expects Chinese EV sales to remain sluggish in February due to the holiday period, before rebounding later in the year.
Charles Lester, Data Manager at Rho Motion, commented on the trend:
“With emission standards coming into force for European manufacturers this year, all eyes are on the opening month for the region, which shows encouraging growth at 21% compared to the same time last year.
The Chinese market, as expected, shrunk 43% from the previous month as drivers tend to go all in at the end of the year before the Chinese New Year public holidays fall in January and February.
The US and Canada market hasn’t yet been impacted by the new occupant of the White House and is showing a consistent year-on-year increase of 22%. All in all, an uncontroversial start to the year for the EV market globally, though this is not going to remain that way for long.”
Europe’s EV Sales Bolstered by New Regulations
The EU’s EV market remains robust, despite higher tariffs on Chinese EVs introduced last year over concerns of unfair government subsidies. The tariffs target battery electric vehicles (BEVs), prompting many Chinese manufacturers to shift focus to hybrid vehicles to maintain their foothold in Europe.
Among individual markets, Germany recorded a 40% increase in EV sales in January. In contrast, French EV sales fell 15%, following the introduction of a new weight tax on plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs). This led many consumers to purchase PHEVs in December 2024 to avoid the tax, causing a decline in January sales.
Looking Ahead: EV Market Faces Policy Shifts and Trade Uncertainty
While January’s figures reflect steady global EV adoption, analysts caution that trade policies, emissions regulations, and government incentives will play a crucial role in shaping the market in 2025.
With Europe tightening emission rules, China adjusting to seasonal slowdowns, and North America awaiting potential policy shifts, the EV sector is set for an eventful year ahead.
Business
BP to ‘Fundamentally Reset’ Strategy as Profits Plummet
Oil giant BP has announced plans for a major strategic overhaul following a sharp decline in profits, a move expected to include scaling back its renewable energy ambitions and increasing oil and gas production.
The company reported a net income of $8.9 billion (£7.2 billion) for 2024, a significant drop from $13.8 billion in the previous year. BP attributed the decline to lower oil and gas prices as well as reduced profits from its refining operations.
Shift Away from Renewables
BP had previously committed to generating 50GW of renewable energy capacity by 2030, but that target is expected to be abandoned when the company unveils its revised strategy on February 26.
The company has already been retreating from its renewable energy commitments. In December, it transferred the bulk of its offshore wind assets into a joint venture with Japanese company Jera, effectively separating them from its core fossil fuel business. BP also froze new wind projects in June 2023 and is now expected to cut its $10 billion renewables investment plan by up to half.
Investor Pressure and Growing Criticism
BP’s shift towards fossil fuels comes as activist hedge fund Elliott Management has acquired a stake in the company, pushing for greater investment in oil and gas. Analysts suggest Elliott’s influence may lead to board changes.
Russ Mould, an analyst at AJ Bell, noted that BP’s profit slump had strengthened Elliott’s case. “A clear and credible plan is desperately needed if BP is going to remain the master of its own destiny,” he said.
However, the decision to pivot back to oil and gas has drawn criticism from environmental groups, who argue that BP and other fossil fuel companies are worsening the climate crisis.
Global Witness, a human rights campaign group, pointed out that BP invested nearly £9 billion in oil and gas last year, compared with only £1.3 billion on renewables and low-carbon energy.
“As the world battles extreme weather disasters supercharged by fossil fuels, it is wrong that polluters such as BP can double down on the oil and gas that is driving climate breakdown,” said Lela Stanley, the group’s head of fossil fuels investigations.
Industry-Wide Trend Towards Fossil Fuels
BP’s move reflects a broader trend in the oil and gas industry, with several major energy firms scaling back their renewable energy investments due to concerns over profitability.
Last week, Norwegian energy giant Equinor announced plans to halve its investment in renewable energy over the next two years, citing rising costs and a slower-than-expected transition to low-carbon energy. Shell has also stepped back from new offshore wind investments, following similar concerns.
Former BP strategy head Nick Butler defended the shift, stating that big oil firms would invest in renewables “when they can see a clear profit.”
Political Uncertainty and Climate Implications
The debate over fossil fuel investment is also playing out on the political stage. Former U.S. President Donald Trump, who has repeatedly expressed support for fossil fuels, recently renewed his pledge to withdraw the U.S. from the Paris climate agreement if re-elected. He has also vowed to ramp up oil and gas exploration, telling supporters the U.S. will “drill, baby, drill.”
In response, environmental activists are pushing for stronger regulations on fossil fuel companies. Elena Polisano of Greenpeace said growing pressure on governments could lead to higher taxation on oil and gas profits, with funds directed towards climate disaster recovery efforts, as seen in Vermont and New York.
“Oil majors like BP are fuelling the climate crisis,” she said. “So it’s only fair to make polluters pay.”
As BP prepares to unveil its new strategy, the company faces increasing scrutiny over whether its pursuit of profit-driven fossil fuel expansion aligns with global efforts to combat climate change.
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